Wednesday, August 30, 2006
Radha Madhav Corporation to allow foreign investment upto 30% of expanded capital
Geometric Software Solutions Company has announced formation of a new group for Virtual Product Design
Lloyd Electric & Engineering has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Hanyung Alcobis Company
EMCO may gain on new order win
Volatility may heighten ahead of derivatives expiry - 30th August 2006
The market may open firm on the back of steady to firm Asian markets and on further fall in crude oil price. In the next two days, the market may turn volatile due to alternate bouts of short covering and bull unwinding in the derivatives segment ahead of expiry of August 2006 derivatives contracts on Thursday (31 August). Historically, short covering has been witnessed ahead of the futures expiry.
Asian stock markets inched higher on Wednesday on growing expectations of an extended pause in US interest rate rises, but gains were limited by worries of flagging consumer confidence in the world's biggest economy. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan and Singapore were up by between 0.29% to 1.6%. South Korea's Seoul Composite was slightly lower.
US stocks rose on Tuesday as minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting helped to cement investors' view that the Fed won't need to raise interest rates again any time soon and crude oil prices dropped below $70 a barrel. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 17.93 points, or 0.16% to end at 11,369.94. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 2.50 points, or 0.19% to finish at 1,304.28. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 11.60 points, or 0.54% to close at 2,172.30.
Crude oil recouped part of Tuesday's fall. NYMEX crude for October delivery rose 29 cents to $70 a barrel in Asian trading on Wednesday, supported by an expected decline in US crude and gasoline stocks in statistics due later on Wednesday and Iran's determination to press ahead with its nuclear programme.
As per provisional data, FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 203 crore on Tuesday (29 August), the day when Sensex had risen 87 points. On Monday 28 August, FIIs bought shares worth a net Rs 43.40 crore. There has been sustained FII buying since late July 2006.
Derivative Pick for Medium Returns with Medium Risk
HOLDING PERIOD - FIFTEEN DAYS
BHARAT ELECTRONICS ( Rs.1202) : The stock has broken out of a very bullish pattern in the daily chart and both the 14 day RSI and StochRSI has given a fresh buy signal. Buy above Rs.1205 with a stop loss of Rs.1184 for a minimum target price of Rs.1262. Higher targets of Rs.1295-1305 are also possible.
SUZLON ( Rs.1241) : The stock has moved up after a decent consolidation and has closed on a strong note. All the oscillators are supporting the likely upmove. Buy above Rs.1245 with as stop loss of Rs.1224 for a target price of Rs.1264 and Rs.1282.
High Risk and High Return Investment
ESAB INDIA ( Rs.375.25 ) is likely to report excellent numbers in the next two quarters, says a leading engineering analyst from Mumbai. He expects the stock to cross the Rs.500 mark in the next one year.
TRF is likely to receive a big order and a leading brokerage house is recommending this stock to all their clients with a price target or Rs.600 plus in one year.
Pune Based Praj Industries shall give 30% returns on investment
PRAJ INDUSTRIES
Present Price - Rs.175 Projected Price - Rs.225
Praj industries based in Pune is engaged in the manufacture of distillery and fuel ethanol plants and is the leader in the domestic market with a market share of more than 75%. The world ethanol consumption has grown from 27 billion litres in the year 2001 to 41 billion litres in 2005, which has been mainly driven by the increasing consumption of fuel ethanol. By 2010 the world ethanol consumption is
expected to reach a level of 72-80 billion litres. Apart from the domestic market, PIL already has a presence in South East Asia, Australia, Africa and Latin America, where the company will focus on organic growth to improve its financial performance. On the technical front, one can notice in the adjacent technical chart that the stock has broken out of triangular pattern and is headed for substantially higher levels. Long term holders can expect higher targets.
35% to 40% returns on this stock recommended by Anand Rathi securities
We initiate coverage on REI Agro. with a BUY recommendation and a price target of
Rs.170/-. CMP is Rs. 124.
Investment Arguments
Largest Basmati Rice Miller in the World
REI has in a timespan of less than a decade, emerged as the largest Basmati rice miller & enhanced capacities will enable the company to cater to growing market demands, particularly from modern retail & export markets.
Shift from Unorganized to Organized
There's a perceptible shift of market share from unorganized players to organized ones, as they are able to offer quality product in volumes & at affordable price. REI, being a key player, will be able to leverage it's economies of scale to garner greater market share.
Favorable Demographics
India's Favorable Demographics, coupled with rising incomes & the willingness of consumers to pay a price premuim will provide greater opportunities for Branded players.
Over the last 2 years, the contributions from Branded Sales & Export sales are rising & management is taking credible steps to further better that mix.
Company's initiative to emerge as a branded player, both domestically & overseas is enhancing the margins, a trend likely to continue in near future.
Risk Factors
Valuations
At the current Market Price, the stock discounts FY07E Earnings by 6.5x & FY08E earnings by 4.9x, which is lower than the historical multiple stock traded at. Also, given the leadership status of the company & earning visibility, we initiate coverage with an
Buy rating & a price target of Rs.170/-
